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Patriots vs Bills Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 18
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Patriots vs Bills Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 18

by USA WagerJanuary 3, 2023

Check out our free Patriots vs Bills prediction for the NFL week 18 game in Orchard Park. See who USA Wager likes to win and cover the spread in this football game. And, get our insight into the best over-under point total bet.

Patriots vs Bills Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 18

On Sunday, January 8th, the New England Patriots travel to take on the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium. This AFC East showdown has a kickoff time set for 1:00 PM ET, and will be televised on CBS.

Heading into Sunday’s game, Buffalo is the odds on favorite to come away with the win. Will they be able to take care of business at home? Or, does New England have what it takes to make things interesting? Keep reading to USA Wager’s Patriots vs Bills prediction.

  • Spread: NE +4.5 | BUF -4.5
  • MoneyLine: NE +275 | BUF -350
  • Total: 42.5

Patriots vs Bills Prediction: Spread

Going into week 18, New England has a record of 3-2 in the AFC East. Overall, the Patriots head into action with a record of 8-8. On the season, New England has one of the better scoring margins in the NFL, ranking 9th with an average differential of 1.81 points. So far, the Patriots have been favored in 8 of their 16 games. The average point spread in these matchups is 4.

Through their last 5 road contests, the Patriots offense has averaged 27.4 points per game while allowing an average of 21.6. New England posted an overall record of 3-2-0 while going 3-2 ATS. New England heads into this matchup with a 1-4 record vs the spread in their last 5 games as the underdog. The team went 1-4 straight up in these matchups.

Going into week 18, Buffalo has a record of 3-2 in the AFC East. Overall, the Bills head into action with a record of 12-3. On the season, Buffalo has one of the better scoring margins in the NFL, ranking 1st with an average differential of 10.47 points. Through 15 games, the Bills have been the favorite in every contest. Currently, their average point spread is -7.

Across their last 5 home contests, Buffalo has been good against the spread posting a mark of 0-4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 28.0 points per game. As the betting favorite, the Bills have an ATS record of 2-3 in their last 5 games. In these matchups their straight up record was 5-0.

In this matchup, we suggest grabbing the Bills on the spread as -4.5 point favorites. On offense, look for the team’s 6th ranked passing attack to continue playing well on their way to a win.

Free Spread Prediction: Buffalo Bills -4.5

Patriots vs Bills Prediction: Total

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Patriots have an over-under record of 7-9. So far, the Patriots have found the most success on defense, ranking 5th in points allowed. On offense, they are closer to the NFL average at 21.31 points per game. On the other side, heading into this week’s matchup, the Bills have an over-under record of 5-10. For the season, Buffalo has been one of the top performing offenses averaging 28.0 points per contest. In addition, the team has been tough on the other side of the ball, ranking 2nd in points allowed.

If looking to place a wager on the over-under, our projections see this game finishing with a total of 47 points, making the over the best bet.

Free Total Prediction: Over 42.5

Check out this post for a full list of our weekly NFL predictions‘>weekly NFL predictions


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