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Packers vs Steelers Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 4

Packers vs Steelers Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 4

by Mitchell MartinSeptember 30, 2021
  • Ben Roethlisberger needs to step up.
  • The packers will try to continue the streak of consecutive 30 point-scoring efforts.
  • Aaron Jones and Najee Harris will both be at the forefront of offensive game plans.

Despite the poor performance put on by the Steelers last week vs Cincinnati, this is still a good team. Mike Tomlin and his 1-2 squad play down to their lesser opponents and really get up for big games like this, which was evident in week 1 vs the Bills.

Both defenses are incredibly similar. Neither have an amazing pass rush, with each recording five sacks this season. One thing that does separate these defenses though is run defense. Through three games, the Steelers have help opponents to 88.3 RYPG. The Packers, on the other hand, sit at 115.3 RYPG. Playing right into the importance of Jones and Harris getting established early.

Offensively there is a bit more of a gap; Aaron Rodgers makes this team the obvious favorite when you take into account weapons like Davante Adams, Randall Cobb, and Robert Tonyan. It just doesn’t match up well with a steelers offense ran by an aging Roethlisberger and without their top receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster after consecutive DNP’s this week.

Betting Odds & Lines for This Game

Spread: PIT +6.5 (-106) | GB -6.5 (-114)

MoneyLine: PIT (+235) | GB (-290)

Total: 45.5 Over (-114) Under (-106)

All odds listed are courtesy of (PointsBet | Caesars | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Packers vs Steelers Prediction: Spread

Some might call me crazy, but Pittsburgh covers the spread in this one. After an embarrassing defeat to the Bengals, Mike Tomlin will have this team right, firing on all cylinders. Although the Steelers might not win, in this one covering the spread should be obtainable in a bound-to-be high-scoring affair.

PIT +6.5 should cover and looks to be one of the bigger spreads of the week, getting a lot of value with the points, especially in Lambo, where Green Bay has been playing teams close all season.

  • Free Prediction: PIT +6.5

Packers vs Steelers Prediction: MoneyLine

Packers should win this game going in as the favorite, with the defending MVP leading the pack. One stat that stands out to me was the Packers offensive line last week. Against a potent 49ers defense, their offensive line only allowed one sack and five quarterback pressures. If they can replicate that performance, Rodgers is bound to have an easy time in the pocket.

Although this game will be closer than many people expect, Packers should pull it out at home and advance to 3-1 a quarter way through the season.

  • Free Prediction: GB (-290)

Packers vs Steelers Prediction: Total

With two defenses ranked outside of the top 20, I think Sunday’s afternoon game of the week should be a barn burner. Big Ben will want to come out and prove to the world that he can still roll out to his right and hit a receiver in the chest without falling over.

And Rodgers, on the other hand, will keep doing A-rod things, finding Adams over the middle and in the seems countless times. Also sprinkling in Aaron Jones 20+ times effectively on the ground. If Chase Claypool and JuJu Smith-Shuster (if healthy) can show up, the steelers should be more than well-equipped.

  • Free Prediction: 45.5 Over (-114)

Bet on This NFL Game

Check out this post for a full list of our weekly NFL predictions.

Prop Predictions

  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling anytime touchdown scorer +220 (great value for a #2 wideout)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers First half winners +182

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About The Author
Mitchell Martin
Mitchell Martin is a young studying journalist currently enrolled in the centennial college post-grad sports journalism program. Prior to that, he acquired a broadcast journalism diploma. Budding writer looking for experience in all fields of journalism, also appearing on live streams and other sights within the company. Mitchell covers football and baseball and also is a contributor at a hometown site called the Toronto observer. Grew up in a town called Pickering just outside of Toronto, Canada.