Colts vs Ravens Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 5
- Carson Wentz won’t throw an interception for the third straight week
- Wich offense can you trust more?
- Jonathan Taylor will average 5.5 YPC (1.4 above the Baltimore Ravens YPC allowed on defense)
When these two AFC teams meet under the lights in Baltimore Monday night, both will have got to this point in a very different fashion. On one side of the football, you have Wentz, who, for starters, sprained both his ankles and seems like he has been under pressure on every snap this season.
And on the other side, you have the hybrid quarterback Lemar Jackson who has had to burden the rushing load after critical injuries to the backfield before this season even got underway. Not to mention is still without rookie wideout Rashod Bateman.
This game will come down to Baltimore’s defensive front and Colt’s offensive line. Wentz has been under immense pressure all season, and it won’t get much easier as Baltimore sacks the quarterback on 6.06% of defence pressures (16th in the league). Not to mention the substantial loss of OG Quenton Nelson, who will miss a minimum of three weeks, a highly regarded player who is one of the best at his position.
Betting Odds & Lines for This Game
- Spread: IND +7 (+260) | BAL -7 (-110)
- MoneyLine: IND (+260) | BAL (-320)
- Total: 47 Over (-110) | Under 47 (-110)
- All odds listed are courtesy of (PointsBet | Caesars | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Colts vs Ravens Prediction: Spread
Jackson proved to me two things last week, he is a great passer, and he can carry this team. I’m carrying the momentum of a three-game win streak with them. I just don’t see the Ravens losing this game.
Last week the Raven’s signal-caller threw for 316 yards, 1TD and had an 8.5 YPA proving to me that when things get tough on the ground, he can go out and win the game with his arm.
The spread indicates the fact that Baltimore is at home. That’s why this matchup seems more lopsided in the spread than it is, but regardless, they will cover the seven points.
- Free Prediction: Ravens -7 (-110)
Colts vs Ravens Prediction: MoneyLine
I’m going to have to stick with the Ravens on the Moneyline despite the atrocious value. When looking at this game and comparing each team’s performance last week, the colt’s secondary doesn’t scare me one bit. In their week 4 matchup with the Dolphins, they allowed quarterback Jacoby Brissett to throw for a 107.5 QBR and two touchdowns.
MNF is won from the ground up. pic.twitter.com/JCIY8UmDMA
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) October 7, 2021
On the other hand, Lemar Jackson was comparable to Steve Nash last week, giving all his weapons equal opportunities, having five different players go over five targets, volume Indianapolis just won’t be able to handle.
- Free Prediction: Ravens (-320)
Colts vs Ravens Prediction: Total
Jonathan Taylor looked incredible last week, accumulating 103 yards on 16 carries, adding one touchdown. On the other hand, Baltimore’s run defense got handled rather easily last week in Denver, giving up 106 yards on the ground.
Maybe that’s a tell-tale sign the defense is slowing down, or perhaps I’m just reading too far into this, but the Ravens run defense has been solid all season, only giving up 4.1 YPC (12th) and 85.8 YPG (7th). I still could see Jonathan Taylor torching them, making this a high-scoring affair.
Another thing to watch out for when betting this total is Wentz staying on his feet. So far this season, Colt’s O-line has allowed 2+ sacks per game. If Wentz can’t stay on his feet, the under could possibly hit.
Regardless I can see this being a back and forth game. The Colts are no slouch and still have a good foundation there. Even without star guard Quenton Nelson, I’m betting the over.
- Free Prediction: Over 47
Bet on This NFL Game
Check out this post for a full list of our weekly NFL predictions.
Both teams to score 1+ touchdown in each half (+190)
I really like this bet based on the fact I believe this will be somewhat back and forth. I can see both teams putting up touchdowns each quarter, let alone each half. Great value here.
Alternative points (Over 51.5)
If your sportsbook allows for it, I would go a little higher on the over to add some value to your slip. 51.5 is just an extra touchdown in what might come down to a last-second field goal.
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