Chargers vs Patriots Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 8
- Patriots looking for their first win against a formidable opponent
- Chargers are looking to rebound from the Ravens game before their bye week.
- What Chargers team is going to show up?
Mac Jones and the Patriots will be traveling to SoFi Stadium Sunday in hopes of picking up their first win against a team currently holding a winning record. So far this season, they have beaten the New York Jets twice and the Houston Texans, not precisely powerhouses. A win this week vs the 4-2 Chargers would give them that and bring them back to .500 at 4-4.
For the Chargers, they will be coming off a bye week which hopefully sorted out whatever happened to them in week six vs the Ravens. The Chargers had issues getting their run game to flourish against the Ravens and having their quarterback Justin Herbert only throw for 185 yards and a touchdown. They will have to be better against a well-coached Patriots squad that you know will bring the heat come Sunday.
Betting Odds & Lines for This Game
- Spread: NE +4.5 ( -110) | LAC -4.5 (-110)
- MoneyLine: NE (+184) | LAC (-220)
- Total: 48.5 Over (-118) | Under (-104)
- All odds listed are courtesy of (PointsBet | Caesars | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Chargers vs Patriots Prediction: Spread
The Patriots have been looking good lately, albeit poor competition, but still a step in the right direction. One area where the Pats have been efficient is on third down. For a team below the .500 mark on the season, they have been converting at the 9th best rate in the league, a good sign for a team with a rookie quarterback.
This week is a big week for Nelson Agholor to step up when it comes to throwing the ball. Chargers number one corner Asante Samuel Jr. has been exceptional up to this point, only allowing opposing quarterback an 81.1 passer rating on him and two picks. That means you can consider Jacoby Myers covered in this one.
With all that being said, I think the Patriots cover the spread in this one. They are coming off a massive win at home, and the Chargers have looked a little stale of bye weeks in the past.
- Free Prediction: NE +4.5 (-110)
Chargers vs Patriots Prediction: MoneyLine
When it comes to the Moneyline, my stance changes a tad. Although the Patriots have looked good, and I think a field goal will decide this game, the chargers still have a legit shot at winning this game.
Head Coach Brandon Staley speaks to the media. https://t.co/dNnQvM9PhN
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) October 27, 2021
Lately, the Chargers rush defense has let them down, but their pass defense has stepped up in the meantime. This season, they only allow quarterbacks to throw for a 91.3 passer rating (12th) against them and 201 YPG (5th). Although a lot of the Patriot’s offense is working off their backs, Mac Jones will still have to find creative ways to move the ball downfield.
It will come down to a field goal, but I trust the Chargers a bit more when it comes to Moneyline.
- Free Prediction: LAC (-220)
Chargers vs Patriots Prediction: Total
With Bill Belichick being an exceptional coach, I can see him scheming up a plan to keep Justin Herbert from going nuclear. And Mac Jones has been really hit and miss all season, but his team’s point total from last week would cover this on its own, which makes it tough.
I would still take the under based on my confidence in the Patriots head coaching.
- Free Prediction: Under
Bet on This NFL Game
Check out this post for a full list of our weekly NFL predictions.
First scoring play (Los Angeles Chargers Touchdown) +160
If your sportsbook allows you to bet on a player for this prop, I would add a leg for Mike Williams receiving this touchdown. He has had an outstanding season averaging 83 YPG and 5.5 rec/game. That added with the fact he has six touchdowns in six games to me makes this obtainable.
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