Browns vs Chargers Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 5
- High scoring affair
- Austin Eckler will have his toughest matchup of the year
- Both quarterbacks throw for 300+ yards
When the Browns visit the gorgeous So-Fi stadium in Los Angeles, California, Sunday, they will be taking on a charged up 3-1 chargers squad.
Year two for Justin Herbert has been a massive coming-out party, and it’s safe to say he will be here for a long time. So far this season, Herbert has thrown for nine touchdowns, passed for an average of 294.5 yards per game and achieved a QBR of 100.7. All of that and only throwing three interceptions is a recipe for success, and he has been remarkable this season.
As for Baker Mayfield, he labored a bit last week vs the Vikings, only throwing for 155 yards and earning an abysmal 59.5 QBR. Now that is likely a one-off as Mayfield has been solid all season, but if keeping up with the Chargers is something this Browns’ squad is looking to do, they will need better numbers from their signal-caller.
Betting Odds & Lines for This Game
- Spread: CLE +1.5 (1.95) | LAC -1.5 (1.87)
- MoneyLine: CLE (2.05) | LAC (1.80)
- Total: 47 Over (1.94) | Under (1.87)
- All odds listed are courtesy of (PointsBet | Caesars | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Browns vs Chargers Prediction: Spread
Although the Brown’s defense wasn’t as dominant getting to the quarterback in week 4 as they were in week 3 this pass rush is still one of the best in the league. Against the Vikings last week, they accumulated 10 quarterback hits and two sacks, keeping Kirk Cousins uncomfortable the whole day.
If they can match that energy and add an extra notch to it against a Chargers team that allowed two sacks and seven quarterback hits vs the Raiders, the Browns should be able to keep Herbert off his toes and on the ground.
Based on the defense of the Browns and their ability to score, I’m taking the favorite Browns on the road.
- Free Prediction: CLE +1.5
Browns vs Chargers Prediction: MoneyLine
When it comes to who wins this, I like Browns’ chances. However, the Chargers have a good run game. It’s their attack through the air that pays the bills.
On Sunday, they will be going up against a stout Browns secondary that Ranks 6th in rating (88.0) and 10th in YPA (6.8). Although I trust Herbert, I think this defence can easily influence this game with their secondary or their front, putting the chargers in a compromisable situation.
- Free Prediction: CLE (2.05)
Browns vs Chargers Prediction: Total
Mayfield has to figure out a way to build his chemistry with Odell Beckham Jr. for this game to hit the over. The duo could only accumulate two receptions for 27 yards on seven targets, not ideal numbers when you have one of the best wideouts to throw. I think they will find chemistry, and chances are this is the week. After two weeks back at it, OBJ should be more comfortable.
Bitonio is on pace to be one of just four Browns players to achieve 100 regular season starts since ’99.
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) October 7, 2021
For the Browns to even begin their passing attack, they will want to keep tabs on this Chargers defensive line, more importantly, Joey Bosa. The stud pass rusher may be the best edge guy in the game with 2.5 sacks getting to the quarterback regularly.
I still this Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will have a field day, but Mayfield may take some bumps and scratches along the way. I still like the over based on the skill of these two teams.
- Free Prediction: Over 47.0
Bet on This NFL Game
Check out this post for a full list of our weekly NFL predictions.
- Justin Herbert over 282.5 yards (-114)
Herbert’s arm is eclectic, and the last game was a tell-tale sign to me as to why he will easily throw for over 100. The raiders played him almost perfectly, and he was still able to throw for over 200 yards and proved to me that he could throw even against some stiff competition.
- Baker Mayfield over 229.5 passing yards (-114)
I can see Mayfield having to air it out a bit, and I think he and OBJ will finally get that connection buzzing.
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