Bears vs 49ers Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1
Check out our free 49ers vs Bears prediction for the NFL week 1 game in Chicago. See who USA Wager likes to win and cover the spread in this football game. And, get our insight into the best over-under point total bet.
49ers vs Bears Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1
On Sunday, September 11th, the San Francisco 49ers travel to take on the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. The two NFC teams will kick things off at 1:00 PM ET, and will be televised on FOX.
The odds for this game opened with the 49ers as the -6.5 point road favorite. The San Francisco 49ers opened with a payout of -275 on the moneyline, compared to the current odds of -282. On the other side, the Chicago Bears opened by getting 220 on the moneyline. Their current moneyline odds sit at 225.
Heading into Sunday’s game, San Francisco is a strong favorite to come away with the win. But, can Chicago take advantage of playing at home and pull off the upset? Keep reading to USA Wager’s 49ers vs Bears prediction.
- Spread: SF -6.5 | CHI 6.5
- MoneyLine: SF -282 | CHI 225
- Total: 42.0
49ers vs Bears Prediction: Spread
Last season, San Francisco covered the spread in over half of their games, putting together an ATS record of 9-8-0. The team’s up and down performance vs the spread was disappointing, as they were the betting favorite in 14 of their games.
Like San Francisco’s overall record vs the spread, their road ATS mark of 5-4-0 was near the league average. San Francisco ended these games with a scoring differential of +14.0 points.
Last season, the Chicago Bears were a below .500 team against the spread, finishing just 6-11-0. This performance came while entering a majority of their games as the betting underdog. Overall, the Chicago Bears were favored just 4 times.
Like their overall ATS record, taking the Chicago Bears to cover the spread at home was a losing bet, as they covered at a rate of just 38.0%. In these games, the Chicago Bears had a negative average scoring differential of -13.75 points.
Heading into the game, the San Francisco 49ers are the heavy favorite to pick up the win. Even with the large spread, look for San Francisco to cover on the road. A key reason that the 49ers will go on to cover the spread is that the offense has an excellent matchup vs a Chicago defense that ranked 22nd in points allowed per game (23.9).
Even though last year’s team finished with a below average scoring offense, look for them to come up with enough points to cover the spread. In particular, the 49ers should continue last year’s success in the passing game, as the team ranked 11th in completion percentage at 66.7%.
Free Spread Prediction: San Francisco 49ers -6.5
49ers vs Bears Prediction: Total
Last season, the 49ers had an over-under record of 8-9-0. Last year, the 49ers average over-under betting line was 46.71, making this week’s line of 42.0 slightly lower. Overall, 15 of their games had over-under lines set higher than this week’s figure (88.0%).
The 49ers accounted for 54.0% of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season. However, in games that surpassed the over-under line, they were responsible for less than half of the points, at 49.0%.
When playing on the road, the 49ers finished the season averaging 24.89 points per game, right in line with their season average of 25.1. Overall, the team’s defense gave up an average of 21.47 points per game, similar to their road figure of 21.11.
Last season, the Chicago Bears had an over-under record of 7-10-0. This week’s betting line of 42.0, is similar to the average over-under line of last year’s team at 43.09 points. However, 59.0% of their contests had betting lines higher than this week’s figure.
Chicago accounted for less than half of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season at 43.0%. This trend includes games that surpassed the over-under betting line, where the Chicago Bears were responsible for 41.0% of the points.
When playing at home, the Bears finished the season averaging 19.12 points per game, right in line with their season average of 18.3. Overall, the team’s defense actually performed better at home where they allowed 19.62 points per game, compared to their overall figure of 23.94.
Heading into this week’s matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and the Chicago Bears, the over under line is set at 42.0 points. If looking to place a wager on this line, it is recommended to take the under. Even with the 49ers coming into the season with the 12th ranked passing offense, yards will be hard to come by vs last season’s 3rd ranked secondary in terms of yardage.
Free Total Prediction: Under 42.0
Check out this post for a full list of our weekly NFL predictions
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