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Utes vs Aztecs Prediction & NCAAF Odds for 9/18/Week 3
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Utes vs Aztecs Prediction & NCAAF Odds for 9/18/Week 3

by Mason AsherSeptember 15, 2021
  • Both teams will have under 400 yards of total offense
  • Utah will convert less than five third downs
  • Micha Bernard will rush for over 100 yards

The Utah Utes will travel to California to take on the San Diego State Aztecs on Saturday evening. The Utes are coming off of an upset loss to BYU while the Aztecs are coming in perfect on the season thus far. Utah got off to a good start this season by defeating Weber State 40-17 but then fell to BYU 26-17.

San Diego State grabbed a solid win in their opener 28-10 over New Mexico State and then trounced Arizona 38-14 in the second game. These teams are both coming in with something to prove for very different reasons.

Betting Odds & Lines for This Game

  • Spread: Utah -9 (-110) / SDSU +9 (-110)
  • MoneyLine: Utah -335 / SDSU +260
  • Total: Over 44.5 / Under 44.5

All odds listed are courtesy of PointsBet. (or FanDuel/DraftKings)

Utes vs Aztecs Prediction: Spread

This game is going to be really interesting for a lot of bettors. Utah is coming off of a loss to BYU and San Diego State has looked really good thus far in their games. I think that this could go two ways. I think that Utah has the potential to blow San Diego State out and I think that San Diego State has a chance to keep this game really close.

San Diego State has allowed just 302 yards per game this season and their defense has looked very good so far this year. Utah has at times struggled to move the ball on offense.

I think this is going to be another game where the Aztecs are able to do enough on the defensive side of the ball that they are going to keep themselves in it late. If you can get San Diego State at +7.5 or better, I would hammer that line.

  • Free Prediction: San Diego State +8.5

Utes vs Aztecs Prediction: MoneyLine

The Aztecs ground game has been solid through the first two games of the season this year. Greg Bell has plowed through for 286 yards and two touchdowns on the ground while the Aztecs quarterback has only thrown for 259 yards and has only 16 completions.

Look for the Aztecs to continue to lean on the run game in this one. The Utes has allowed 144 yards per game on the ground so this is a situation where they could really break it open on the ground.

If San Diego State is in the lead late, I think they have the ability to really milk away the clock and secure the win. Utah is favored in this one but I think that San Diego State is a great value play.

  • Free Prediction: San Diego State +260

Utes vs Aztecs Prediction: Total

The over/under is set at 44.5 points for this contest and for any college football game that is a low number. Utah is scoring an average of 28.5 points a game and the Aztecs are scoring 33.0 points a game this year.

The defenses are not good enough for both teams to have both offenses be under 21 points for the game. I think that we will see a little bit of offense in this one as these two teams come out to try and prove themselves. This game should hit the over easily.

  • Free Prediction: Over 44.5

Prop Predictions

Two props that I really like for this game are Utah points over 26.5 and San Diego State points over 17.5. You can get great value with either of these. This is a game that has hit the over the last four times these teams have faced off and this game shouldn’t be any different.

Northern Illinois at the over 17.5 (+105) is a really solid play that will return value more often than not. Utah at 26.5 points is another one that should hold value as this game might be higher scoring.

  • Free Predictions: SDSU over 17.5 points, Utah over 26.5 points
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About The Author
Mason Asher