Premier League Betting – Best Picks, Odds, Predictions
The Premier League is the biggest professional soccer league in the world, as fans across the globe focus their attention on the action from one of the main birthplaces of the sport. Because of that, Premier League betting is also very popular, as bettors look to back their favorite teams or make money exercising their knowledge of the rest of the league.
But how exactly does one make Premier League picks effectively and what is the secret to successful Premier League predictions?
In this guide to Premier League betting, you’ll find out everything there is to know about wagering on the Prem. From how the league works to the current landscape of the league to what betting markets you may find when betting on English soccer, we’ll discuss it all here. The only thing that’ll be missing is the charming accent that Premier League fans have come to expect from those broadcasting the games.
Best Sportsbooks To Bet On Premier League
When selecting a sportsbook with which to do your Premier League betting, there are a ton of choices out there. It’s up to you to decide which sportsbook best meets your needs for soccer betting based on whichever criteria you care about most. But these Premier League bettings sites are largely considered to be the best in the industry, as they tend to avoid any own goals that would get in the way of your enjoyment of them.
Premier League Previous Season Recap
Last season, the Premier League betting favorites managed to live up to the expectations set for them before the season. Manchester City ran through the Premier League, winning the title on 86 points, a mark 12 points better than the second place finishers in Manchester United.
While City’s attack always draws the headlines when they play, it was their league-best defense that saw them through to the title after they gave up 32 goals in 38 league matches.
Behind second place Manchester United, it was Liverpool that finished third thanks to wins in each of their final five matches. Chelsea rounded out the top-four, earning the final of England’s four Champions League places with 67 points.
Leicester City finished just a point out of the top-four, winning just one of their final five matches to finish in fifth place with 66 points.
Of course, the big story for the Premier League last season was the league’s dominance over the rest of the UEFA Champions League. Manchester City and Chelsea both made the Champions League Final, with Chelsea scoring a victory in that final match to lift the trophy. This season, both of those clubs will attempt to earn themselves another appearance in the biggest game in club football with another Champions League Final appearance.
At the bottom of the standings, three clubs were relegated when the Premier League season came to a close. Fulham, West Bromwich Albion and Sheffield United finished convincingly as the bottom-three and were relegated to the Championship division. Norwich City, Watford and Brentford were promoted to the Premier League to replace the bottom-three teams.
Transfer Window Recap
The transfer window can have a huge impact on Premier League Betting over the course of a season, as teams bring in new players and ship out players to other teams. The biggest name on the list of completed transfers ahead of the 2021-2022 Premier League season came in the form of Cristiano Ronaldo, who moved to Manchester United after a period of openly flirting with Manchester City. Ronaldo, who began his career with the Red Devils, is one of the most prolific players of all time, with more goals scored than any other top-level player in world history. Can he win another title with his home club?
The Ronaldo transfer was one of many moves that didn’t go City’s way ahead of the season. City had been linked to Lionel Messi and Harry Kane during the summer transfer window as well, with those moves fizzling out before Messi went to PSG and Kane stayed at Tottenham.
But it wasn’t all window shopping for City during the transfer window, as they did manage to land a high-priced signing in Jack Grealish. The former Aston Villa man has only added more depth to a City attack that’s one of the best in the world today.
Elsewhere, Chelsea brought in Romelu Lukaku in an attempt to bolster its front line ahead of a season where they hope to repeat as European champions. And Manchester United made another important signing beyond the Ronaldo deal when they snagged Jadon Sancho from Borussia Dortmund. But it was a relatively tame transfer window by Premier League standards in the summer of 2021.
The question will be whether the winter transfer window will be more eventful in January of 2022. Several teams find themselves behind Manchester City, as clubs like Chelsea and Liverpool haven’t quite lived up to the expectations they’d set for themselves going into the year. It’s possible that they need more help in their respective midfields and back lines to keep themselves in position to contend with City throughout the end of this season and beyond.
Who Are Favorites To Win the Premier League This Season?
The Premier League betting favorite for this season is easily Manchester City. The defending league champions didn’t lose any notable pieces from what has been a dynastic run at the top of English football, save for striker Sergio Aguero whose career has sadly come to an end due to a heart issue.
With the addition of another elite-level player in Grealish, their depth in the middle of the field remains superior to everyone else in the league right now.
Beyond City, there are a few teams that are considered among the upper echelon when you look at the Premier League betting odds. Liverpool has the best striker in the Prem today in Mo Salah, the favorite to take home the honor of being the league’s top scorer this season. He is expected to pace a Liverpool team that’s won the Premier League and Champions League in recent seasons, and could very well get back there once again.
Chelsea is also not to be ruled out this Premier League season, as they ended last year lifting the Champions League trophy. They’re a stout defensive club capable of creating flashes of brilliance when in possession. And with the return of Lukaku to the Premier League as a member of the Blues, Chelsea could very well hold off City and Liverpool en route to an impressive championship season.
Who’s In Danger Of Relegation?
When looking at the Premier League betting out there, you should look at the relegation race in addition to the race for the title. Multiple teams come into each season as relegation candidates, and this year is no different in that regard.
At the top of the list of relegation candidates this season is Norwich City, which could see its season result in a trip back to the Championship. Norwich City has developed a reputation of being a “one and done” team, so to speak, meaning that they often spend one year being promoted to the Premier League before being relegated again.
They‘re expected to have the same thing happen to them again this year, as Norwich looks under qualified to hang with the bigger teams in the league again this season. At the very least, it’ll take a real fight for Norwich to avoid being sent to the Championship once again.
Another team that could hit as a relegation candidate when doing some Premier League betting is Newcastle United. Despite a serious investment into the club from a new ownership group, there hasn’t been progress in terms of results for Newcastle just yet. They’re going to have to fight their way out of the relegation hunt in order for the new administration to really start to mold the club into a long-term Premier League team.
Elsewhere on the list of relegation candidates in the Premier League are teams like Burnley, Watford and Leeds United. These teams don’t have a ton of recent success at this level of the sport, and they could very well see their time in the Premier League come to an end for now after this year. But they’ll be gunning for Premier League mainstays like Everton and Southampton, who could slide into the relegation race if they aren’t careful.
Outright Predictions For Premier League 2021/22
When making outright Premier League betting predictions, the most important thing to think about is whether the team you’re backing has the roster to survive the rigors of an entire Premier League season. Some teams have plenty of name recognition, but lack the depth necessary to get through 38 games of action in addition to any tournament games that they have to play. Researching the depth of a team can be more important to success in Premier League betting in the futures markets than anything else.
With that in mind, it’s hard to pick against Manchester City to win the Premier League title in the 2021-2022 campaign. They’re the deepest team in the league, possessing multiple high-level options at all positions except striker, which they don’t always choose to use in their matches. If City can avoid injuries throughout this season, it’s hard to imagine that they aren’t the best choice to back them to win the league this year.
If there’s a team that can take City down for the title this year, it would have to be Liverpool, thanks to their elite combination of attacking and defensive football. They have the best front line in the sport led by Salah, but they also have a recent Premier League Player of the Year in Virgil Van Dijk who’s more than capable of anchoring a stingy defense. It’ll take a near-perfect campaign, but Liverpool is more than capable of delivering that.
Players To Keep An Eye On In the Premier League This Season
The top player to keep an eye on during this season of Premier League betting is Kevin De Bruyne. No player means more to a Premier League team than Kevin De Bruyne, as his passing and ability to set up scoring chances from the Manchester City midfield is what makes the best team in the league tick. His health will also be something to monitor throughout this season, as his ability to dominate the middle of the park often subjects him to some physical play.
Another player worth watching during this campaign is Harry Kane, whose effectiveness can impact Premier League betting for much of this year. Kane is Tottenham’s top option as a striker, but hinted at wanting to leave the club throughout the most recent transfer window. How invested he is in playing for Spurs, and how impactful he is when he does play, could have a massive impact on which teams claim Champions League places at the end of the season.
Finally, Cristiano Ronaldo is always a player to watch, but is even more worth watching now that he is back at Manchester United. United hasn’t won a Premier League title since the 2012-2013 season, and it doesn’t look like they have the depth to do so again this year. But if Ronaldo can put them on his back for any period of time and make them a competitor, the buzz surrounding United and Ronaldo could cause the teams ahead of them to falter.
How Do We Provide Our Expert Picks For the Premier League?
The answer to how we provide our expert Premier League picks is the same answer to the question of how the best teams in the Premier League do so well on the field. The answer is hard work, as our Prem handicappers work all season (and offseason) long to evaluate each team and determine where their strengths and weaknesses are. That allows us to identify where different teams match up well against others, as we identify value betting spots that you can take advantage of throughout the year.
Our Premier League betting experts are also proficient at using statistics to figure out when each of their betting picks are warranted. Simple stats like possession and shot-based metrics are a part of that equation, but they also look at more advanced stats like expected goals to figure out which teams are and aren’t living up to their expectations. As a result, you can anticipate soccer betting tips based on quality data to maximize the chances of turning a profit in the Premier League betting markets.
Best Sportsbooks that Cover Premier League Games
It’s important to remember that there’s no one sportsbook that’s the best for Premier League betting, as your needs as a bettor might be completely different than the needs of other bettors.
But there are several Premier League betting sites that’ve separated themselves from their competition for a number of different reasons. At the very least, these bookmakers are worth taking a look at when betting on the Premier League.
FanDuel Sportsbook tends to be one of the earliest bookmakers to the market with betting odds for the Premier League and other sports. They offer a robust selection of prop bets as well, making it easy for bettors to find value betting on soccer if they’re willing to do a deep dive into each match.
BetMGM is another bookmaker beloved by Premier League bettors and bettors in other sports and leagues. They offer promotions that soccer bettors can take advantage of on a regular basis, especially in the form of parlay insurances that allow bettors to recoup their losses when placing some forms of parlay bets throughout the soccer season.
Finally, Caesars Sportsbook is a site that also offers strong promotional offers that Premier League bettors can utilize. Their matched bets or risk-free bet offers help to give bettors some added value on top of the bets that they are placing, which is great for new bettors especially.
Sportsbook Promo Codes and Best Bonuses for the Premier League
There are several promo codes at Premier League betting sites worth taking a look at when signing up for Premier League bookmakers. These offers can put extra funds in your sportsbook accounts or at least protect the money you deposited in there originally. These Premier League betting promo codes are the most worth taking a look at when getting started at these sites.
At Caesars Sportsbook, new players can take advantage of a matched bet on their first wager at the site worth up to $1,001. Here, you can wager up to $1,001 on your first bet and get that amount in free bets automatically. Then, if that first bet wins, you also get your stake amount back along with any profits you generate from your first piece of Premier League betting.
BetRivers also offers an interesting Premier League betting promotion, in the form of a 100% deposit bonus for up to $250. This means you can make your first deposit at BetRivers worth up to $250 and the site will match it dollar for dollar. You’ll have more money than you started with in your account before placing a single bet on the Premier League.
All You Need To Know About Premier League Betting
There are a lot of things to think about before you start your Premier League betting journey. That includes understanding the different Premier League betting markets and understanding how the different betting odds work. Fortunately for you, just like a great passing midfielder, we’re here to help and to set you up for success with some help in those departments.
Premier League Odds And Betting Lines
Premier League betting odds are available for single games as well as full seasons through futures odds. They’re both displayed the same way, with numbers that begin with either a plus sign or a minus sign. The plus-sign odds indicate the amount you would win if you put $100 on that market, while odds that begin with minus signs indicate the amount you would have to bet to win $100.
For example, if you were doing some Premier League betting on a match between Manchester City and Liverpool you might see City at -120 to win the match and Liverpool at +110. In that situation, a $120 bet on Manchester City would be needed to win $100, while a $100 bet on Liverpool would yield $110 in profits if Liverpool managed to come away with the victory.
You don’t have to bet exactly $100 when making your wager, but you should know whatever your betting amount is, winnings will be proportional to the $100 rate.
Compare Odds For Premier League
The most important thing to do when participating in Premier League betting is to compare the odds available across multiple sportsbooks. Doing so will show slight differences from one site to the next in the odds being offered. Why does this matter, you ask? The answer is that it can impact how much money you can make on each bet.
For example, let’s say that your Premier League betting is centered around the above example match between Manchester City and Liverpool. At one sportsbook, Liverpool is at +110 odds, while they are at +120 odds at another bookmaker. In that scenario, betting the same $100 at each site would yield a profit of $110 at one bookmaker and $120 at another, making the +120 odds more favorable to you.
How Do We Generate Our Premier League Odds?
We set our own Premier League betting odds by modeling the results of each match based on a number of factors. Our experts look at everything from recent form for each team, to in-depth statistical analysis and situational spots to make our own Premier League betting odds.
Then, we compare those odds to the actual odds set by bookmakers, to determine where the best values are in the betting markets for each week. Through that series of intricate models and simulations, we come up with odds for you to use to find the best betting value at an array of sportsbooks.
Moneyline Premier League Odds
The moneyline is a Premier League betting market where your job is simply to predict which team is going to win each match. There are three options to choose from when betting on the moneyline market in soccer: for either team to win the game, or for the match to end in a draw.
As an example of a moneyline bet in the context of Premier League betting, let’s say Chelsea and Manchester United are set to play at Old Trafford. The odds for that match might have Chelsea as a -105 favorite, Manchester United at +200 to win the match, and the odds at +150 for the match to end in a draw. That would mean a $105 bet would be needed to win $100 on Chelsea, a $100 bet on United would yield $200, and a $100 bet on a draw would yield $150 in winning scenarios.
Premier League Over/Under Odds
The over/under in Premier League betting is centered around how many goals will be scored in a match regardless of the outcome of the game. Here, Premier League betting sites will project a number of goals they expect to be scored for a game. It’s then up to you to decide whether the amount of goals in the game will go over or under that amount when the final whistle blows.
For example, you might see an over/under of 2.5 goals for an upcoming Premier League match. You are then tasked with betting on whether the two teams playing will score over or under that amount. If two or fewer goals are scored, that would result in the under being the winning bet, while three or more goals would mean a win for the over.
How Does The Premier League Work?
The Premier League consists of 20 teams each season, with the top team after the conclusion of the season winning the league title. The top-four teams from England earn their places in the Champions League each year, while the bottom-three teams are relegated to the Championship. Those bottom-three teams are replaced by the top finishers in the Championship from the season before.
Teams And Venues
The 20 current teams in the Premier League are as follows. Some have been in the Premier League since its inception, such as Manchester United, while others like Newcastle United and Norwich City have a much less consistent history of appearing in England’s top flight.
- Arsenal – Emirates Stadium
- Aston Villa – Villa Park
- Brentford – Brentford Community Stadium
- Brighton and Hove Albion – Amex Stadium
- Burnley – Turf Moor
- Chelsea – Stamford Bridge
- Crystal Palace – Selhurst Park
- Everton – Goodison Park
- Leeds United – Elland Road
- Leicester City – King Power Stadium
- Liverpool – Anfield
- Manchester City – Etihad Stadium
- Manchester United – Old Trafford
- Newcastle United – St. James’ Park
- Norwich City – Carrow Road
- Southampton – St. Mary’s Stadium
- Tottenham Hotspur – Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Watford – Vicarage Road
- West Ham United – London Stadium
- Wolverhampton Wanderers – Molineux Stadium
Premier League Trophy
The Premier League trophy is the ultimate prize for English soccer clubs, as they work the entire season to earn it each year. The current Premier League trophy was designed by Royal Jewellers Asprey of London. It features multiple lions, which is the image synonymous with English sports, along with a crown at the top of the trophy to cement the winner’s status as kings in the history of the sport.
The trophy is about 24 inches wide and 41 inches tall. It also features ribbons on the handles of the trophy, which are changed to match the color scheme of the champions each season. In the case of Manchester City, that means sky blue and white ribbons.
COVID-19 has had an impact on Premier League betting over the last couple of seasons. There was a run of games that were played without fans in 2020 when the world was still adjusting to the virus. And it could have an impact on Premier League betting again in the 2021-2022 season, as games have been postponed due to the virus.
There are no plans at this point to pause the season, but the situation with COVID is fluid, as changes to virus statistics in England could cause a halt in play.
Interesting Facts About Premier League
The Premier League was founded in 1992, as an update to the original English first division that had existed since the late 1800s. It was created as a response to low attendance and lagging quality of play in the 1980s, and the Premier League reinvigorated English football with new interest from fans and media organizations alike.
Only one team has earned 100 points in a single season in the Premier League, with that being Manchester City in the 2017-2018 season. The fewest points in a Premier League campaign in its history came from Derby County, which amassed just 11 points over the course of the 2007-2008 campaign.
Premier League Conclusion
Premier League betting is all about shopping around for the best odds for each matchup. If you’re willing to do that, and you’re willing to put in the work to analyze all of the teams in the league each season, you’ll have a great chance to turn a profit betting on English football.