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Ten Best Bets For Super Bowl LVII

Ten Best Bets For Super Bowl LVII

by Daniel BenjaminFebruary 8, 2023

The NFL’s two best teams will compete for the Vince Lombardi Trophy when the Kansas City Chiefs face the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LVII. The February 12th game marks the league’s 57th edition of the Super Bowl and the fourth time it is being played in the Phoenix area for the fourth time.

Kansas City (16-3), making its third Super Bowl appearance in four seasons and fourth overall, enters the game on a 10-game winning streak. On a three-game winning streak, Philadelphia (16-3) is in the NFL’s biggest game for the second time since 2017 and the fourth time overall. The Chiefs are 2-1 in championship games, and the Eagles are 1-2

Not only have the Chiefs and Eagles been the two best teams in the league for much of the season, but they also share a few other things. Andy Reid, head coach in Philadelphia from 1999 to 2012, is coaching in his fourth Super Bowl, with three being with the Chiefs and one with the Eagles.

Also, each team has a Kelce brother on their squad. Travis Kelce is in his ninth season in Kansas City, and Jason Kelce is in his 12 campaign.

The teams are making Super Bowl history as both are the first to start black quarterbacks in a Super Bowl. Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts are the youngest starting quarterbacks at 27 and 24 years old, respectively.

Similarly to every other year, a plethora of bets can be made at this year’s Super Bowl. While I will avoid most of the obscure bets, there are some intriguing props and I will divulge my best bets in the following.

After opening as a 1-point underdog, Philadelphia is now a 1.5-point favorite. The Over/Under has dropped from 51 points to 50.5. Wide receiver Mecole Hardman won’t be available forn the Chiefs as he was placed on IR on Monday.

Under 50.5 Points (-110)

I like the under here. By projections, there will be 49 points scored on Sunday. Philadelphia has been relatively strong on the defensive side all season, ranking second in total defense and eighth in scoring. Kansas City’s defense has improved as the season progressed, finishing 11th in total and 16th in scoring.

While 10 of the Chiefs’ 19 games have seen 51 or more points put up on the board, it happened just five times in their last 12 contests. Likewise, 14 of the Eagles’ 19 games have finished under the 50-point threshold. None of the four combined playoff contests in which the two squads have been involved have surpassed 50 points.

Moreover, each team’s defense strength is also the strength of the opposition. Philadelphia will try to run the ball against Kansas City’s No. 8 ranked run defense.

Similarly, the Chiefs will try to pass against the Eagles’ top-ranked pass defense. Additionally, both defenses are excellent at getting after the quarterbacks.

Patrick Mahomes Under 294.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Mahomes turned in the second-best season of his career this year. He also has the propensity to come up big when the lights are brightest like he did against the Bengals.

Mahomes may be hobbled in the game due to his high ankle sprain, which could hurt his mobility and affect his throws when under pressure. He has yet to throw more than 286 yards in his two previous Super Bowls.

Philadelphia’s pass defense has been a strength of theirs all season long. The Eagles gave up a league-low 208.5 yards through the air a game. They allowed more than 275 passing yards once this season, giving up 192 passing yards in the first two playoff games.

Philadelphia has permitted opposing quarterbacks to complete 62.9% of their passes or 20.5 completions a game. The Eagles also allow just 6.4 per pass attempt and 5.8 adjusted yards gained per pass attempt.

Additionally, the Eagles will be able to pressure Mahomes quite a bit and likely bring him down several times. Philadelphia averaged four sacks a game during the regular season and registered eight in their first two playoff games.

Travis Kelce Anytime TD (-135)

Kelce is Mahomes’ top target and will be a huge part of the Chiefs’ game plan. He led the Chiefs in every receiving category this year, including touchdowns with 12. So, if Mahomes throws a touchdown in Super Bowl LVII, it will be to Kelce.

Kelce reached the end zone three times this postseason, twice against the Jaguars and once versus the Bengals. He has one score in two Super Bowl appearances.

Other Best Bets

  • Dallas Goedert Anytime TD (+140)
  • Any player to have a 55+ yard reception (+250)
  • Isiah Pacheco Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
  • Kenneth Gainwell Over 1.5 Receptions (-130)
  • Noah Gray Under 1.5 Receptions (-1.5)
  • Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions (-175)
  • Jake Elliott Over 1.5 Field Goals (-105)
  • Harrison Butker Over 1.5 Field Goals (-130)
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About The Author
Daniel Benjamin