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Packers vs Vikings Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1

by USA WagerSeptember 7, 2022

Check out our free Packers vs Vikings prediction for the NFL week 1 game in Minneapolis. See who USA Wager likes to win and cover the spread in this football game. And, get our insight into the best over-under point total bet.

Packers vs Vikings Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1

On Sunday, September 11th, the Green Bay Packers travel to take on the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. This NFC North showdown has a kickoff time set for 4:25 PM ET, and will be televised on FOX.

The odds for this game opened with Green Bay as the -1.5 point road favorite. The Green Bay Packers opened with a payout of -126 on the moneyline, compared to the current odds of -133. On the other side, the Minnesota Vikings opened by getting 108 on the moneyline. Their current moneyline odds sit at 109.

Heading into Sunday’s game, the odds suggest this will be a close matchup. Will Green Bay pull off the win as a slight road favorite? Or, will Minnesota take care of business at home? Keep reading to USA Wager’s Packers vs Vikings prediction.

Spread: GB -2.5 | MIN 2.5
MoneyLine: GB -133 | MIN 109
Total: 49.0

Packers vs Vikings Prediction: Spread

During the 2021-2022 regular season, the Green Bay Packers finished 12-5-0 against the spread. The team’s strong performance vs the spread came while being favored in 13 of their games.

Like their overall ATS record, Green Bay was excellent vs the spread on the road, covering at a rate of 56.0%. In these games, Green Bay had a positive average scoring differential of 6.55 points.

Last season, the Vikings covered the spread in over half of their games, putting together an ATS record of 9-8-0. The team’s performance vs the spread came while being favored in 8 games.

Similar to their overall ATS record, betting the Minnesota Vikings at home, provided mixed results as they covered at a rate of 50.0%. In these games, the Minnesota Vikings had a negative average scoring differential of -6.5 points.

Leading into this week’s matchup between Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings, the Packers are the -2.5 point road favorite. Our projections recommend taking Green Bay to cover the spread. On their way to covering, look for Green Bay to have a big game on offense. Last year’s team ranked 9th in points per game, and will be facing a Minnesota defense that allowed an average of 25.1 points per contest.

In particular, the Packers should continue last year’s success in the passing game, as the team ranked 6th in completion percentage at 67.8%.

Free Spread Prediction: Green Bay Packers -2.5

Packers vs Vikings Prediction: Total

The Green Bay Packers come into this season off a 2021-2022 campaign in which they finished with an over-under mark of 8-9-0. The over under line of 49.0 is right in line with the team’s 2021-2022 average of 47.03 points. However, 65.0% of their contests had betting lines set lower than this week’s figure.

The Green Bay Packers accounted for 55.0% of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season. This trend includes games that surpassed the over-under betting line, where Green Bay was responsible for 56.0% of the points.

When playing on the road, Green Bay finished the season averaging 22.78 points per game, a slight decrease from their season average of 26.5. Overall, the team’s defense had their problems on the road, where they allowed 26.33 points per game, compared to their overall figure of 21.82.

Last season, the Minnesota Vikings had an over-under record of 11-6-0.

This week’s betting line of 49.0 is similar to the average over-under line of last year’s team at 48.41 points. However, 59.0% of their contests had betting lines set lower than this week’s figure.

The Minnesota Vikings accounted for exactly half of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season. However, in games that surpassed the over-under line, they were responsible for less than half of the points, at 48.0%.

When playing at home, the Minnesota Vikings finished the season averaging 24.5 points per game, right in line with their season average of 25.0. Overall, the team’s defense gave up an average of 25.06 points per game, slightly worse than their home figure of 21.75.

In this week’s matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings, look for the two teams to surpass the over-under betting line of 49.0 points. Minnesota comes into the game with an offense that finished the season ranked 12th in yards per play. This week they will be facing a Green Bay defense that struggled to prevent big plays, as their yards per play allowed figure of 5.4 was higher than the league average.