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NFL Thursday Night Week 9 Best Prop Bets: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Houston Texans

NFL Thursday Night Week 9 Best Prop Bets: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Houston Texans

by Daniel BenjaminNovember 2, 2022

The NFL is at its midway point of the season as they had into Week 9. The NFC East-leading Philadelphia Eagles, the league’s only unbeaten team, hits the road for a trip to Texas to take on the AFC South cellar-dwelling Houston Texans on Thursday, November 3. Kickoff is slated for 8:15 p.m. (ET) at NRG Stadium.

Philadelphia has been, far and away, the best team in the NFC and one of the best teams in the league, along with Buffalo. The Eagles improved to 7-0 with a 35-13 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday as Jaden Hurts connected with A.J. Brown for three of his four career-high four touchdown passes. Philadelphia holds a two-game lead over the Dallas Cowboys for the top spot in the NFC East.

Houston (1-5-1) dropped its second straight game with its 17-10 setback to the Tennessee Titans, who rushed for 314 yards on 45 attempts. The Texans and Lions are the only teams that have one win though their minus-38 scoring differential is the third-worst in the league.

Philadelphia and Houston are just two of eight NFL teams not to make a trade during the season, which saw the league’s trade deadline pass on Tuesday. Philadelphia is favored by 14 points, and the over/under is set at 45 points. The Eagles are -910 on the money line while

Texans +14 (-115)

The Philadelphia Eagles are the better team and should win the game by double-figures. However, the 13-point spread is just a touch too high. Both teams are coming off a short week, which generally benefits the underdog and the home team. The Texans are playing at home for the second straight week while the Eagles had to travel.

Houston has been very competitive despite its record. The Texans have only lost one game by more than two touchdowns and just two by more than one score. They are 0-2-1 at NRG Stadium this year, tying Indianapolis and losing to San Diego by 10.

Philadelphia is 3-0 on the road. While the Philadelphia Eagles have won all four of their home games by at least eight points, two of their three road games have been decided by three points.

The Philadelphia Eagles have been great at creating turnovers on defense (16) and not turning the ball over (2) offensively. Similarly, the Texans have been pretty good at protecting the ball (7 turnovers) and forcing turnovers (11). So, if Houston can win the turnover battle, they could keep th3 game close.

Home teams are 4-4 on Thursday night this year. Seven of the eight Thursday night games have finished within two touchdowns, including seven straight. Buffalo’s 31-10 victory over Los Angeles Rams in Week 1 is the only contest that ended with the difference being over 14 points.

Miles Sanders Over 78.5 Rushing Yards

Philadelphia runs the ball the fifth-most in the league, as 51.36% (35.6 attempts) of their plays have been rushes this year. While the Eagles have run the ball less over the last three contests, they are still averaging nearly 31 attempts per game.

Sanders is one of the best running backs in the game. He is on pace to have a career year running the ball and is averaging a solid 4.9 yards per carry and 16 attempts per game. Sanders totaled 78 yards on just nine attempts against the Steelers on Sunday, marking his fifth game of at least 70 yards.

Moreover, Houston’s run defense has been awful. The Texans have permitted the most rushing yards by running backs at nearly 160 a game this year. Derrick Henry thrashed them for 219 yards on Sunday, joining Josh Jacobs, Khalil Herbert, along with Jonathan Taylor to have reached the century mark.

Other Best Bets

Jalen Hurts Under 1.5 Passing TD (+100)
Davis Mills Under 231.5 Passing Yards
Dameon Pearce Over 61.5 Rushing Yards

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Daniel Benjamin