Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL
Welcome to another exciting week of NFL action! With a 8-5-2 record so far this season, I’m here to guide you through my six best bets for Week 4.
Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter @Carter_Lutz16 for live updates and additional picks on game day. Let’s dive right into it!
BEST BET: Patriots +6 (3 units)
My top pick for Week 4 is the New England Patriots. Getting the chance to back Bill Belichick as a 6-point underdog against Mike McCarthy is a golden opportunity. Despite their 1-2 record, I’ve been impressed by the Patriots’ performances against tough opponents this season, and I believe this is a statement game for them.
The Cowboys missed Trevon Diggs last week, and I expect his absence to be even more noticeable this week. I’m all in on the Patriots and I’d sprinkle a moneyline bet because they’re the more physical team and can win this game.
Jaguars/Falcons Under 43.5
In the first international game of the year comes in Week 4, we’re looking at an under bet, some might even call it the “lunder.” Both defenses match up well here. The Jaguars have been one of the best teams at stopping the run, and the Falcons have excelled in pass defense. They’re both nullifying each other’s strengths. Plus, the challenges of traveling to Europe can’t be great for either offense. I’m taking the “lunder” at 43.5.
After just three games, the Sean Payton experiment in Denver appears to be a disaster. I’m not finding much to like about this Broncos team. The Bears, on the other hand, have had a tough start to their schedule, but I believe this could be the game that sets them in the right direction.
They need this win, or Matt Eberflus’ job could be on the line. The Broncos shouldn’t be favored against any team on the road. Give me the Bears at home with a field goal advantage.
This might be one of the more popular picks of Week 4, but I trust the Dolphins more than I do the Bills. The outcome of this game heavily depends on how Josh Allen performs, and his inconsistency is a concern.
The Dolphins are 3-0 against the spread this year, and they’ll continue to prove they are one of the top 3-4 teams in the league.
Baker Mayfield looked solid for Tampa Bay to start the year, but I anticipate some drop-off in the coming weeks, especially against more challenging defenses.
The Saints boast an elite defense, and after a fourth-quarter collapse last week against Green Bay, I expect them to come out firing at home in their first divisional game of the season.
This feels like a classic letdown spot for the Chargers, as we’ve seen in the past. Five points in a divisional game is a sizable margin, and I don’t believe the Raiders are as bad as some may think.
With 75% of the money on LA, I’m comfortable taking the points with Las Vegas, banking on their defense to contain Justin Herbert for the Week 4 win.