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Jets vs Ravens Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1

by USA WagerSeptember 7, 2022

Check out our free Ravens vs Jets prediction for the NFL week 1 game in East Rutherford. See who USA Wager likes to win and cover the spread in this football game. And, get our insight into the best over-under point total bet.

Ravens vs Jets Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1

On Sunday, September 11th, the Baltimore Ravens travel to take on the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. The two AFC teams will kick things off at 1:00 PM ET, and will be televised on CBS.

The odds for this game opened with the Baltimore Ravens as the -4.0 point road favorite. The Ravens opened with a payout of -190 on the moneyline, compared to the current odds of -241. On the other side, New York opened by getting 160 on the moneyline. Their current moneyline odds sit at 195.

Heading into Sunday’s game, Baltimore is a strong favorite to come away with the win. But, can New York take advantage of playing at home and pull off the upset? Keep reading to USA Wager’s Ravens vs Jets prediction.

Spread: BAL -6.0 | NYJ 6.0
MoneyLine: BAL -241 | NYJ 195
Total: 45.0

Ravens vs Jets Prediction: Spread

Last season, the Baltimore Ravens were a below .500 team against the spread, finishing just 8-9-0. The team’s up and down performance vs the spread was disappointing, as they were the betting favorite in 11 of their games.

When playing on the road, Baltimore covered the spread just 38.0% of the time. These matchups resulted in a scoring differential of -5.0 points for Baltimore.

Last season, the Jets were a below .500 team against the spread, finishing just 6-11-0. This performance came while entering a majority of their games as the betting underdog. Overall, the New York Jets were favored just 1 time.

Like their overall ATS record, taking New York to cover the spread at home was a losing bet, as they covered at a rate of just 44.0%. In these games, New York had a negative average scoring differential of -16.88 points.

Heading into the game, the Baltimore Ravens are the heavy favorite to pick up the win. Even with the large spread, look for Baltimore to cover on the road. A key reason that the Ravens will go on to cover the spread is that the offense has an excellent matchup vs a New York defense that ranked 32nd in points allowed per game (29.6). Even though last year’s team finished with a below average scoring offense, look for them to come up with enough points to cover the spread.

Baltimore should find success through the passing game, as opposing quarterbacks put together a combined passer rating of 101.24 vs the Jets defense (2021-2022).

Free Spread Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -6.0

Ravens vs Jets Prediction: Total

The Baltimore Ravens come into this season off a 2021-2022 campaign in which they finished with an over-under mark of 8-9-0.

The over under line of 45.0, is right in line with the team’s 2021-2022 average of 46.5 points. In total 10 of last season’s games had over-under lines set higher than this week’s number.

Baltimore accounted for exactly half of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season. However, in games that surpassed the over-under line, they were responsible for less than half of the points, at 46.0%. When playing on the road, the Ravens finished the season averaging 19.62 points per game, a slight decrease from their season average of 22.8.

Last season, New York had an over-under record of 10-7-0. This week’s betting line of 45.0 is similar to the average over-under line of last year’s team at 43.94 points. However, 71.0% of their contests had betting lines set lower than this week’s figure.

New York accounted for less than half of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season at 38.0%. This trend includes games that surpassed the over-under betting line, where New York was responsible for 41.0% of the points. When playing at home, the New York Jets finished the season averaging 19.78 points per game, right in line with their season average of 18.2. Overall, the team’s defense gave up an average of 29.65 points per game, similar to their home figure of 29.0.

In this week’s matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and New York Jets, look for the two team’s to surpass the over-under betting line of 45.0 points. Although the Jets did not feature an explosive passing offense in the 2021-2022 season, they will have an opportunity to get off to a hot start against a Ravens defense that ranked near the bottom of the league in passing yards allowed.