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Eagles vs Lions Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1

by USA WagerSeptember 7, 2022

Check out our free Eagles vs Lions prediction for the NFL week 1 game in Detroit. See who USA Wager likes to win and cover the spread in this football game. And, get our insight into the best over-under point total bet.

Eagles vs Lions Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1

On Sunday, September 11th, the Philadelphia Eagles travel to take on the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. The two NFC teams will kick things off at 1:00 PM ET, and will be televised on FOX.

The odds for this game opened with Philadelphia as the -4.0 point road favorite. The Philadelphia Eagles opened with a payout of -180 on the moneyline, compared to the current odds of -197. On the other side, the Lions opened by getting 155 on the moneyline. Their current moneyline odds sit at 160.

Heading into Sunday’s game, Philadelphia is a strong favorite to come away with the win. But, can Detroit take advantage of playing at home and pull off the upset? Keep reading to USA Wager’s Eagles vs Lions prediction.

Spread: PHI -4.0 | DET 4.0
MoneyLine: PHI -197 | DET 160
Total: 46.5

Eagles vs Lions Prediction: Spread

Last season, the Eagles were a below .500 team against the spread, finishing just 8-8-1. The team’s performance vs the spread came while being favored in 7 games.

Similar to their overall ATS record, betting Philadelphia on the road provided mixed results as they covered at a rate of 56.0%. In these games, the Philadelphia Eagles had a positive average scoring differential of 13.25 points.

Last season, the Detroit Lions covered the spread in over half of their games, putting together an ATS record of 11-6-0. This strong performance vs the spread, came while not being favored in a single game.

Like their overall ATS record, Detroit was excellent vs the spread at home, covering at a rate of 75.0%. In these games, the Detroit Lions had a negative average scoring differential of -6.33 points.

Leading into this week’s contest between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Detroit Lions, look for the Eagles to cover the -4.0 points spread as road favorites. On their way to covering, look for Philadelphia to have a big game on offense. Last year’s team ranked 12th in points per game, and will be facing a Detroit defense that allowed an average of 27.5 points per contest.

Philadelphia should find success through the passing game, as opposing quarterbacks put together a combined passer rating of 99.51 vs the Lions defense (2021-2022).

Free Spread Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles -4.0

Eagles vs Lions Prediction: Total

Last season, the Eagles had an over-under record of 10-7-0. The over under line of 46.5, is right in line with the team’s 2021-2022 average of 46.74 points. In total 8 of last season’s games had over-under lines set higher than this week’s number.

The Eagles accounted for 54.0% of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season. This trend includes games that surpassed the over-under betting line, where the Philadelphia Eagles were responsible for 52.0% of the points.

When playing on the road, Philadelphia finished the season averaging 25.56 points per game, right in line with their season average of 26.1. Overall, the team’s defense actually performed better on the road where they allowed 18.22 points per game, compared to their overall figure of 22.65.

Last season, the Detroit Lions had an over-under record of 7-10-0. This week’s betting line of 46.5, is similar to the average over-under line of last year’s team at 45.44 points. Overall, 7 of their games had over-under lines set higher than this week’s figure (41.0%).

The Detroit Lions accounted for less than half of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season at 41.0%. This trend includes games that surpassed the over-under betting line, where Detroit was responsible for 38.0% of the points.

When playing at home, the Lions finished the season averaging 22.12 points per game, a jump up from their season average of 19.1. Overall, the team’s defense gave up an average of 27.47 points per game, similar to their home figure of 27.88.

Heading into this week’s matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Detroit Lions, the over under line is set at 46.5 points. If looking to place a wager on this line, it is recommended to take the under. Although Philadelphia comes into the year with a weak passing defense, Detroit is still unlikely to move the ball through the air, as they finished last season ranked just 18th in total passing yards.

One reason that this should be a lower scoring game than expected is that, Detroit’s offense figures to struggle to move the ball. Last year, the team ranked 22nd in yards per play and will face a Eagles defense that allowed an average of 328.8 yards per game.