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Buccaneers vs Cowboys Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1

by USA WagerSeptember 7, 2022

Check out our free Buccaneers vs Cowboys prediction for the NFL week 1 game in Arlington. See who USA Wager likes to win and cover the spread in this football game. And, get our insight into the best over-under point total bet.

Buccaneers vs Cowboys Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1

On Sunday, September 11th, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to take on the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. The two NFC teams will kick things off at 8:20 PM ET, and will be televised on NBC.

The odds for this game opened with Tampa Bay as the -3.0 point road favorite. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers opened with a payout of -140 on the moneyline, compared to the current odds of -134. On the other side, the Cowboys opened by getting -125 on the moneyline. Their current moneyline odds sit at 108.

Heading into Sunday’s game, the odds suggest this will be a close matchup. Will Tampa Bay pull off the win as a slight road favorite? Or, will Dallas take care of business at home? Keep reading to USA Wager’s Buccaneers vs Cowboys prediction.

Spread: TB -2.0 | DAL 2.0
MoneyLine: TB -134 | DAL 108
Total: 52.0

Buccaneers vs Cowboys Prediction: Spread

During the 2021-2022 regular season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished 9-8-0 against the spread. The Buccaneers’ inconsistent performance vs the spread came while being favored in 17 of their games.

Although Tampa Bay had a decent overall ATS record, taking them to cover on the road was a losing bet, as they did so at a rate of just 33.0%. In these games, the Buccaneers had a positive average scoring differential of 10.5 points.

Last season, the Dallas Cowboys performed well against the spread, covering in 76.0% of their games (13-4-0). The team’s strong performance vs the spread came while being favored in 13 of their games.

Like their overall ATS record, Dallas was excellent vs the spread at home, covering at a rate of 62.0%. In these games, the Dallas Cowboys had a negative average scoring differential of -1.25 points.

Leading into this week’s matchup between Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys, the Buccaneers are the -2.0 point road favorite. Our projections recommend taking Tampa Bay to cover the spread. Even though Tampa Bay will be facing off against last year’s 7th-ranked scoring defense, the Buccaneers finished 2021 with an elite scoring offense, averaging 30.1 points per game.

Free Spread Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.0

Buccaneers vs Cowboys Prediction: Total

Last season, the Buccaneers had an over-under record of 9-8-0.

The over-under line of 52.0, is right in line with the team’s 2021-2022 average of 49.47 points. However, 65.0% of their contests had betting lines set lower than this week’s figure.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers accounted for 59.0% of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season. This trend includes games that surpassed the over-under betting line, where the Buccaneers were responsible for 57.0% of the points.

When playing on the road, Tampa Bay finished the season averaging 27.22 points per game, right in line with their season average of 30.1. Overall, the team’s defense had their problems on the road, where they allowed 24.0 points per game, compared to their overall figure of 20.76.

Last season, the Cowboys had an over-under record of 8-9-0.

This week’s betting line of 52.0 is similar to the average over-under line of last year’s team at 50.35 points. However, 65.0% of their contests had betting lines set lower than this week’s figure.

The Dallas Cowboys accounted for 60.0% of the overall scoring in the 2021-2022 season. This trend includes games that surpassed the over-under betting line, where Dallas was responsible for 61.0% of the points.

When playing at home, the Dallas Cowboys finished the season averaging 36.38 points per game, a jump up from their season average of 31.2. Overall, the team’s defense gave up an average of 21.06 points per game, similar to their home figure of 22.12.

In this week’s matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys, look for the two teams to surpass the over-under betting line of 52.0 points. Tampa Bay comes into the game with an offense that finished the season ranked 3rd in yards per play.

This week, they will be facing a Dallas defense that struggled to prevent big plays, as their yards per play allowed figure of 5.5 was higher than the league average. The Buccaneers could be in line for a good game through the air, as last year’s 1st ranked passing attack will face off vs a Cowboys defense that is vulnerable in the secondary.