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Dolphins vs Chargers Prediction & NFL Odds for Week 1

73.5 Million Americans Plan to Bet on Football

by USA WagerSeptember 4, 2023

On Sunday, September 10th at 4:25 PM ET, the Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins face off at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. CBS will carry the TV coverage for the game.

The odds for this week 1 AFC matchup have the Chargers as the 3 point favorites at home. Will the Chargers pull this one out? Find out how I see this game playing out on Sunday.

Prediction at a Glance for Chargers vs Dolphins

Tons of value at +3 in this one.
The Chargers take this one straight-up, but not feeling agressive enough to go after the spread.
My lean is on the under at 50.5.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

Spread: Dolphins +3 | Chargers -3
Total: 50.5
MoneyLine: Dolphins +134 | Chargers -164

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Dolphins vs. Chargers Prediction: Spread

Against the spread, the Dolphins went 10-8 last season on an average scoring margin of -0.3. On the road, Miami’s ATS record was 5-5 and 5-3 at home.

Last season, betting on the Chargers against the spread turned out to be profitable, as they finished the season with an ATS record of 11-6-1. The team’ overall scoring margin finished at +0.3 points per contest. On the road, Los Angeles was 7-3 compared to 4-3-1 at home.

As road underdogs, I’m like the value of taking the Dolphins. Right now, they are at +3, and I’ll be locking them in at this number while I can.

Free Spread Prediction Dolphins +3 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Chargers Prediction: MoneyLine

Against the spread, the Dolphins went 10-8 last season on an average scoring margin of -0.3. On the road, Miami’s ATS record was 5-5 and 5-3 at home.

Coming off a 10-7 season and a loss in the Wild Card round, the Chargers will be looking for a deeper playoff run this season. In the AFC-West, the Chargers were 2-4 and finished 2nd in the standings. On the road, Los Angeles was 5-5 compared to 5-3 at home.

Even though I have the Chargers winning this one straight-up, I’d stick to the moneyline. Look for this to be a closer game than expected with the Chargers eventually pulling out a win over the Dolphins.

Free MoneyLine Prediction Chargers -164 (Bet Now)

Dolphins vs. Chargers Prediction: Total

For the season, the Dolphins’ over/under record was 9-9 with their games averaging 47.8 points per game. In games with an over/under line below today’s line of 50.5, their OU record was 1-2 compared to going 8-7 in games with over/under lines below 50.5.

On the over/under, the 2022-2023 Chargers went 8-9-1. Overall, their games averaged 46.4 points per game, which was 10th in the NFL.

If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 50.5 points. For this game, my money is on the under.