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Texas State vs Nevada Prediction & College Football Odds for Week 4

Texas State vs Nevada Prediction & College Football Odds for Week 4

by USA WagerSeptember 19, 2023

The kickoff for this week 4 matchup between the Wolf Pack and Bobcats takes place at 7:00 ET at Bobcat Stadium (TX). ESPN+ will be carrying the television coverage for this NEVADA vs. TXST shodown.

This non-conference game sees the Bobcats as 17.5 point favorites to come out with a win. Are they the best pick on the spread, or could the Wolf Pack provide better value? Continue reading to find out.

Prediction at a Glance for Texas State vs. Nevada

  • A lot of value with Texas State on the spread at -17.5.
  • Targeting the ML? Take Texas State.
  • Take the over at 59.5 now while you still can.

Betting Odds & Lines for This Game

  • Spread: Nevada +17.5 | Texas State -17.5
  • Total: 59.5
  • MoneyLine: Nevada +578 | Texas State -916

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Texas State vs. Nevada Prediction: Spread

Despite the straight-up loss in their last game, the Wolf Pack were 28 point underdogs, moving their ATS record to 0-2. Nevada’s three most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 2-1 against the spread.

After covering the spread vs. Jackson State, the Bobcats have an ATS record of 2-1 so far this year. Texas State is 2-1 ATS in their last home games.

Texas State’s passing offense is poised for another strong outing, given their recent success against Kansas. With a -17.5 spread in their favor at home I’m backing Texas State to cover.

  • Free Spread Prediction: Bobcats -17.5 (Bet Now)

Texas State vs. Nevada Prediction: MoneyLine

Currently holding a 0-3 record, the Nevada Wolf Pack are eager to secure their first victory of the season against Texas State. Their most recent outing saw them facing Kansas and losing 31-24. In the loss against Kansas, quarterback Brendon Lewis notched two rushing touchdowns and accumulated 58 rushing yards. In the passing game, he completed 68.2% of his passes for a total of 113 yards, achieving a passer rating of 80.3.

With a 77-34 win over Jackson State, Texas State’s record now stands at 2-1 as they head into this week’s matchup with Nevada. In Texas State’s most recent win, TJ Finley not only threw for three touchdowns but ran for two as well. For the game, he threw for a total of 251 yards while completing 81.0% of his passes.

For the moneyline bet, the smart move is to take Texas State. I not only anticipate them securing the win against Texas State but also covering the spread.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction: Bobcats -916 (Bet Now)

Texas State vs. Nevada Prediction: Total

With their last game against Kansas staying below the over/under line of 58, Nevada has an over/under record of 1-1 for the season, with a combined total of 55 points. Looking at the their most recent games Nevada has an OU record of 1-2.

After combining with Jackson State for 111 and an over/under line of 62, the Bobcats have a current over/under record of 1-1 for the season. In their last three games, Texas State has gone 2-1 on the over/under.

On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 59.5. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 60 points.

  • Free Total Prediction: OVER 59.5 (Bet Now)

Bet on This College Football Game

Check out this post for a full list of our weekly college football predictions.

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