The Atlanta Falcons will not be a good football team in 2022, that is for sure. Yet their win total of 4.5 seems a bit low.

Atlanta traded star quarterback Matt Ryan to the Indianapolis Colts and will run with Marcus Mariota and Desmond Ridder. The new QB combo is far from elite, but Mariota has won games in this league before. In addition, its defense should be good enough to help steal a few games and help the Over 4.5 (-120) cash at the season’s end.

Mariota spent last season with the Las Vegas Raiders, learned under Derek Carr, and was a big part of their short-yardage team. He will be a threat with his legs, but he [...]